最新轰动消息!马华这班政棍在下届大选可以去荷兰!为何?看这里一目了然!

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到底马华能不能重获华裔选民的支持,在以下民调一目了然。


最新的民调显示,大多数的华裔选民仍然支持行动党和其他在野政党。

这项民调和马华总会长廖中莱早前提及的,行动党将会在来接大选被淘汰的说法背道而驰。

这项由研究机构Institut Darul Ehsan(IDE)在今年8月发布的调查显示,68%的华裔受访民众倾向支持希望联盟,21%支持国阵,7%表示尚未决定,以及4%会支持伊斯兰党。

IDE报告也显示,华裔选民给予雪州和槟州希盟政府的支持率,分别高达58%和65%。


另外,由默迪卡民调中心在9月展开的调查显示,超过三分之二,即68%华裔受访者认为我国正迈向错误的发展发现,同一个问题在2013年4月的民调,只有51%受访者如此认为。

在2013年4月的报告显示,当时受访的1000民众里,有21%的人认为我国正朝着正确的方向发展,如今却只有 11%人如此认为。

廖中莱在上星期表示,行动党将会在来届大选被选民淘汰。不过,默迪卡民调中心主任苏菲安却指出,廖中莱的说法属于言之过早。

“现在就说华裔选民大量回流支持马华,还真言之过早。”

“目前的民调仍然显示华裔倾向支持行动党甚于马华。无论如何,我们不能排除,不同年龄阶层的选民到时的投票率,或带来不同的影响。”


另外,默迪卡民调中心研究经理陈承杰则指出,在上届大选,即便选票确实回流国阵, 还是会有一小部分的马华忠实支持者向国阵投反对票,因为他们相信但是换政府的唯一机会。

在2013年,马华遭遇了史上最差的一次选举成绩,但是马华参选的37国席和90席州席,只赢得了7国11州。而行动党参选了51个国席和103个州席,却赢得了38国93州。
虽然马华声称本身拥有109万党员,并是国阵里第二大成员党,但是在上届大选却只有66万1469的华裔选民(18.4%)投向国阵,但支持民联的华裔选民却多达292万(81.5%)。

IDE研究机构指出,受访的华裔对国阵政府在2015年4月实施的消费税导致百物涨价,仍然感到不满。

IDE研究机构表示:“大多数人都对现有的经济状况感到不满。”


研究也显示,华裔受访者最关心物价飙升(53%)、紧接着是生活压力(23%)、薪金(10%)、社会和犯罪课题、硬体发展(5%)、失业率(2%)以及其他课题(3%)。

IDE的研究报告,一共对4468人进行了调查。

(本网站新闻翻译及整理自The Malaysian Insight,盗文图必究!)

SLIM to none. That sums up the chances of MCA regaining its position as the political party of choice for Malaysian Chinese.


Recent surveys show an overwhelming number of Chinese still support DAP and the opposition. 

These findings cast doubt on the claim by MCA president Liow Tiong Lai that DAP candidates will be knocked out in the next election.

In a survey conducted in August this year, Institut Darul Ehsan (IDE) found that 68% of the Chinese respondents favoured Pakatan Harapan, while only 21% supported Barisan Nasional. A total of 7% were undecided and 4% supported PAS.

Chinese voters’ approval for PH state governments in Selangor and Penang also remained strong at 58% and 65% respectively, said IDE.

In another survey carried out by Merdeka Center for Opinion Research in September, more than two-thirds of ethnic Chinese respondents, or 68%, believe that the country is generally going in the wrong direction, compared with 51% in a similar poll conducted in April 2013.  


Only 11% of the Chinese respondents in the survey of 1,000 people believe the country is going in the right direction, down from 21% in April 2013.

Liow had predicted on Sunday that DAP will tumble in the next general elections, which must be held by next August.

Merdeka Center’s executive director, Ibrahim Suffian said it was premature for Liow to make such a claim.

“It’s still too early to say whether there is a substantive improvement in Chinese voter support to MCA at this point in time.

“So far, available data still show that DAP is favoured over MCA. However, we can’t rule out some minor variations due to changes in turnout amongst voters of different age groups,” Ibrahim told The Malaysian Insight.

Merdeka Center research manager Tan Seng Keat said even if there was a swing back to BN, it would be from a small percentage of loyal MCA supporters who voted against BN in the last election because they believed there was a genuine chance of changing the government

In 2013, MCA suffered its worst electoral outing, winning only seven out of 37 parliamentary seats and 11 out of 90 state seats it contested. DAP won 38 out of 51 parliamentary seats and 95 out of 103 state seats it contested.

MCA is said to have some 1.09 million members and is the second largest component party in BN, but only 661,469 Chinese voters (18.4%) voted for BN in 2013, while 2.92 million (81.5%) voted for Pakatan Rakyat.

IDE said most Chinese respondents are still angry with BN for introducing the Goods and Services Tax (GST) in April 2015, leading to a sharp rise in the price of goods.

“Most are unhappy with the current economic situation,” said IDE.

It found that the rising prices of goods topped the list of concerns among Chinese respondents (53%), followed by the pressures of life (23%), wages (10%), crime and social issues (6%), infrastructure development (5%), unemployment (2%) and other issues (3%).

The IDE conducted the survey among 4,468 people. – November 9, 2017.

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